Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.7%
Sheffield Weds
29.9%
Draw
49.4%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.37
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.587.5%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.5%
0-0
12.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).