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20 Feb 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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96.9%
Bayern Munich
2.4%
Draw
0.7%
Greuther Furth

Expected Goals (xG)

5.12

Bayern Munich

vs
0.54

Greuther Furth

Markets

BTTS41.7%
Over 0.599.6%
Over 1.597.7%
Over 2.592.0%
Over 3.581.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

5-0
10.4%
4-0
10.1%
3-0
7.9%
5-1
5.6%
4-1
5.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-1
2.5%
1-0
1.7%
5-2
1.5%
4-2
1.5%
3-2
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).