Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.7%
Spezia
27.8%
Draw
46.5%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Spezia
vs
1.54
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.5%
0-0
8.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).