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27 Oct 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.7%
Fenerbahce
22.7%
Draw
6.5%
Bodrumspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.04

Fenerbahce

vs
0.54

Bodrumspor

Markets

BTTS38.2%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.8%
1-0
13.4%
3-0
10.7%
1-1
10.4%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
2.9%
2-2
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
5-0
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).