Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.9%
Marseille
20.2%
Draw
24.9%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Marseille
vs
1.39
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-2
4.6%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).