Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.7%
Barrow
26.1%
Draw
34.2%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Barrow
vs
1.18
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS49.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.3%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.4%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).