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14 Dec 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.5%
Genk
24.4%
Draw
26.1%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.79

Genk

vs
1.25

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS60.1%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.536.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
0-0
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).