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HHT: 10CSV

29 Apr 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.8%
Dorking
21.4%
Draw
56.8%
Scunthorpe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Dorking

vs
2.24

Scunthorpe

Markets

BTTS66.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.3%
1-1
9.0%
1-3
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
0-3
5.2%
2-3
4.7%
1-4
3.9%
0-0
3.5%
1-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).