Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.3%
Birmingham
22.0%
Draw
13.7%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66
Birmingham
vs
0.59
Stockport
Markets
BTTS35.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.4%
2-0
14.5%
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.0%
0-1
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-0
3.3%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).