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21 Sept 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.1%
Beerschot VA
22.8%
Draw
57.0%
St Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Beerschot VA

vs
1.97

St Truiden

Markets

BTTS57.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
0-1
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-0
5.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-3
3.6%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).