Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Eibar
25.3%
Draw
15.4%
Villarreal B
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Eibar
vs
0.64
Villarreal B
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.6%
2-0
13.5%
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).