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DHT: 10CSV

01 Feb 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.2%
Wigan
24.4%
Draw
52.4%
Lincoln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Wigan

vs
1.47

Lincoln

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.2%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
5.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).