Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Ipswich
26.8%
Draw
22.8%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Ipswich
vs
1.02
Millwall
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).