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20 Apr 2024 · 12:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.7%
Boreham Wood
13.3%
Draw
7.1%
Ebbsfleet

Expected Goals (xG)

2.96

Boreham Wood

vs
0.84

Ebbsfleet

Markets

BTTS54.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
9.8%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-0
7.2%
1-0
6.2%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
6.0%
5-0
4.3%
5-1
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).