Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Sheffield United
29.5%
Draw
24.0%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Sheffield United
vs
0.92
Stoke
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.520.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).