Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Gorica
26.5%
Draw
50.1%
Zagreb
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Gorica
vs
1.73
Zagreb
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.6%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-0
5.1%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).