Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.1%
Sheffield Weds
31.0%
Draw
48.9%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
0.74
Sheffield Weds
vs
1.30
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.9%
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.6%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
4.8%
2-1
4.6%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).