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17 Sept 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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93.3%
Witham Town
4.9%
Draw
1.7%
Haringey Borough

Expected Goals (xG)

3.83

Witham Town

vs
0.46

Haringey Borough

Markets

BTTS35.9%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.580.0%
Over 3.561.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
12.9%
4-0
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
5-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-1
5.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
5-1
4.3%
1-1
2.3%
3-2
1.4%
0-0
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).