Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.7%
Catanzaro
23.1%
Draw
17.2%
Cesena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Catanzaro
vs
1.00
Cesena
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.581.2%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.9%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.0%
1-2
5.0%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).