Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Milton Keynes Dons
22.9%
Draw
24.3%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
1.09
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).