Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.0%
Hatayspor
19.7%
Draw
67.3%
Besiktas
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Hatayspor
vs
2.67
Besiktas
Markets
BTTS66.3%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.591.4%
Over 2.574.0%
Over 3.553.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
8.0%
0-2
7.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-2
5.3%
2-3
4.7%
0-4
4.5%
2-1
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
0-0
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).