Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.9%
Heidenheim
24.7%
Draw
34.4%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Heidenheim
vs
1.59
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS66.8%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
1-0
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
0-0
4.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
4.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).