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AHT: 00CSV

25 Mar 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.4%
Gillingham
24.1%
Draw
40.5%
Peterboro

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Gillingham

vs
1.37

Peterboro

Markets

BTTS52.5%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).