⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 10CSV

17 Mar 2018

Parma

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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19.4%
Virtus Entella
28.3%
Draw
52.4%
Parma

Expected Goals (xG)

0.84

Virtus Entella

vs
1.52

Parma

Markets

BTTS45.5%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.2%
0-1
13.2%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
5.6%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).