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20 Feb 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.0%
Amiens
22.9%
Draw
47.1%
Sochaux

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Amiens

vs
1.59

Sochaux

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.1%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).