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AHT: 02CSV

09 Apr 2022 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.7%
Greuther Furth
26.8%
Draw
48.5%
M'gladbach

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Greuther Furth

vs
1.59

M'gladbach

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).