Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.0%
Tamworth
23.9%
Draw
25.1%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.92
Tamworth
vs
1.31
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS63.1%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.562.6%
Over 3.540.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
6.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
4.8%
3-0
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).