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AHT: 01CSV

27 Apr 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.0%
Cowdenbeath
35.1%
Draw
20.9%
Brechin

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Cowdenbeath

vs
0.75

Brechin

Markets

BTTS38.8%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.8%
1-1
15.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).