Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Sutton
26.3%
Draw
27.5%
Tamworth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Sutton
vs
1.22
Tamworth
Markets
BTTS57.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).