Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Roma
21.3%
Draw
13.3%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Roma
vs
0.69
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS41.7%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
2-0
13.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).