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HHT: 10CSV

08 May 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.9%
Morecambe
23.3%
Draw
57.8%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Morecambe

vs
1.66

Bradford

Markets

BTTS44.9%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-1
10.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).