Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.2%
Cardiff
29.1%
Draw
28.8%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Cardiff
vs
1.09
Reading
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).