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AHT: 01

30 Aug 2025 · 18:30

Basel

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.1%
Sion
33.3%
Draw
31.6%
Basel

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Sion

vs
1.09

Basel

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.7%
0-0
12.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).