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26 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Barnet

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.7%
Dag and Red
24.2%
Draw
60.1%
Barnet

Expected Goals (xG)

0.83

Dag and Red

vs
1.83

Barnet

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).