Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.8%
Roma
13.1%
Draw
5.1%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Roma
vs
0.45
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS33.3%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.4%
3-0
13.5%
1-0
13.4%
4-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
1-1
5.9%
0-0
5.3%
5-0
4.1%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
2.5%
5-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).