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AHT: 11CSV

12 Nov 2023 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.0%
Andorra
25.1%
Draw
23.9%
Eldense

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Andorra

vs
0.98

Eldense

Markets

BTTS49.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
7.8%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).