Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Espanol
28.7%
Draw
25.9%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Espanol
vs
0.92
Alaves
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.2%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
6.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.0%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).