Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.2%
Ipswich
22.0%
Draw
63.8%
Brighton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Ipswich
vs
2.17
Brighton
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
0-4
4.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).