Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Maritimo
25.2%
Draw
42.1%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Maritimo
vs
1.39
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).