Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.7%
Kidderminster
34.8%
Draw
33.4%
Hartlepool
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Kidderminster
vs
0.93
Hartlepool
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.582.8%
Over 1.555.6%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.2%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-1
6.0%
2-2
2.8%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).