⚽ FootballData
3 – 0
HHT: 20CSV

30 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
28.2%
Braintree Town
34.1%
Draw
37.7%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

0.85

Braintree Town

vs
1.03

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS38.0%
Over 0.583.6%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.529.1%
Over 3.512.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
16.4%
0-1
14.6%
1-1
14.5%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).