Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →92.5%
Galatasaray
6.6%
Draw
0.9%
Yeni Malatyaspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.63
Galatasaray
vs
0.38
Yeni Malatyaspor
Markets
BTTS31.7%
Over 0.597.6%
Over 1.591.6%
Over 2.576.4%
Over 3.556.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.4%
4-0
13.1%
2-0
11.9%
5-0
9.5%
1-0
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-1
5.0%
2-1
4.6%
5-1
3.6%
1-1
3.2%
0-0
2.4%
3-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).