Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Avellino
34.3%
Draw
27.9%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Avellino
vs
0.86
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.557.8%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.3%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.3%
0-1
11.5%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).