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24 Aug 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Rizespor
31.5%
Draw
23.0%
Erzurum BB

Expected Goals (xG)

1.55

Rizespor

vs
1.06

Erzurum BB

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.1%
0-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
0-1
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).