Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.5%
Leeds
25.4%
Draw
25.2%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Leeds
vs
1.30
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
5.6%
3-0
4.6%
0-1
4.0%
3-2
3.9%
0-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).