Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Alcorcon
33.6%
Draw
33.1%
Zaragoza
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Alcorcon
vs
0.86
Zaragoza
Markets
BTTS33.0%
Over 0.582.1%
Over 1.551.0%
Over 2.524.6%
Over 3.59.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.9%
1-0
15.6%
0-1
15.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
2-1
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-0
1.9%
0-3
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).