Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →1.8%
Heidenheim
5.0%
Draw
93.2%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.63
Heidenheim
vs
4.23
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.595.6%
Over 2.586.2%
Over 3.571.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-4
10.4%
0-3
9.8%
0-5
8.8%
0-2
7.0%
1-4
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
1-5
5.5%
1-2
4.4%
0-1
3.2%
1-1
2.2%
2-4
2.1%
2-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).