Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.5%
Stevenage
29.5%
Draw
23.0%
Oldham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Stevenage
vs
0.72
Oldham
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.556.0%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.6%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).