Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →82.3%
Galatasaray
13.8%
Draw
3.8%
Kasimpasa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.90
Galatasaray
vs
0.61
Kasimpasa
Markets
BTTS44.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
1-1
6.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-0
5.1%
0-0
4.3%
5-1
3.1%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).