Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.8%
Oxford
20.1%
Draw
18.1%
Milton Keynes Dons
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Oxford
vs
0.90
Milton Keynes Dons
Markets
BTTS49.5%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
7.0%
0-1
6.3%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).